Recovering this blog

I have lost access to this blog, and only just recovered the password.

I will be updating this blog actively from now.

Economic Calander 13 April

Date Time (ET) Statistic For Market Expects Prior
Apr 11 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 04/06 NA 4307K
Apr 11 2:00 PM FOMC Minutes Mar 21
Apr 11 2:00 PM Treasury Budget Mar -$90.0B -$85.3B
Apr 12 8:30 AM Export Prices ex-ag. Mar NA 0.6%
Apr 12 8:30 AM Import Prices ex-oil Mar NA -0.1%
Apr 12 8:30 AM Initial Claims 04/07 320K 321K
Apr 13 8:30 AM Trade Balance Feb -$60.5B -$59.1B
Apr 13 8:30 AM PPI Mar 0.7% 1.3%
Apr 13 8:30 AM Core PPI Mar 0.2% 0.4%
Apr 13 10:00 AM Michigan Sentiment-Prel. Apr 87.5 88.4

US Economic Calander 6 Apr

Date Time (ET) Statistic For Market Expects Prior
Apr 2 10:00 AM ISM Index Mar 51.0 52.3
Apr 3 5:00 PM Auto Sales Mar 5.1M 5.1M
Apr 3 5:00 PM Truck Sales Mar 7.6M 7.7M
Apr 4 10:00 AM Factory Orders Feb 2.0% -5.6%
Apr 4 10:00 AM ISM Services Mar 54.7 54.3
Apr 4 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 03/30 NA -846K
Apr 5 8:30 AM Initial Claims 03/31 NA 308K
Apr 6 8:30 AM Nonfarm Payrolls Mar 120K 97K
Apr 6 8:30 AM Unemployment Rate Mar 4.6% 4.5%
Apr 6 8:30 AM Hourly Earnings Mar 0.3% 0.4%
Apr 6 8:30 AM Average Workweek Mar 33.8 33.7
Apr 6 10:00 AM Wholesale Inventories Feb 0.4% 0.7%
Apr 6 3:00 PM Consumer Credit Feb $5.0B $6.4B

Have Realistic Expectations

In the newspapers, there are many advertisements that make trading apear to be simple. These advertisements unfortunately promote unrealistic expectations in the minds of new traders.

Everyone should have realistic expectations when they start out in any endeavour.

The following list sets out some expectations that are part of the realism of trading: Continue reading ‘Have Realistic Expectations’

Teaching Shinkendo in Indonesia

I was invited to a 2 day teaching seminar held in Jakarta. The new Shinkendo study group has 7 members and is is headed by Chris Kinetik, who is a skilled Aikido practitioner.

The seminar went well, with the 2 day seminar covering material that is normally taught over two months! I remember how it was like for me when I first started, with so many new terms, concepts and techniques. The Indonesian group is very enthusiastic, and they have asked me to visit them again in July. If they practice well, they may even qualify for Shinkendo’s first ranking.

Migrating my blog

I have recently migrated my blog to a new host.

http://shinkentrader.com/blog/

Stripping and Cleaning

Today was the first time that I striped my Iaito for cleaning and inspection. The tang is in good condition, and the mekugi is still sound and usable. After cleaning, I duly reassembled the Iaito. This reminds me of my National Service days when stripping and cleaning the AR15 was a daily chore!

Dow Jones Index

a3.jpgThe market has closed above the maximum extension with a bullish directional candle. This event is now hinting that the bullish trend can possibly sustain. If market can close with bull bars above the maximum extension for 2 consecutive days, I will change my stance from range top to acknowledging bullish trend continuation instead.

SPI200

a2.jpg12M is in bullish upswing; 13W is in bullish upswing;18D is also in bullish upswing, but has reached Demark exhaustion. In addition, the 18D swing is highly overbought statistically, in both price and time.

KLCI

a1.jpg12M is in upswing, but is now in the 12M primary sell zone; 13W is in bullish trend; 18D is also in bullish trend with new Demark exhaustion.


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